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polymarket-bot/api/main.py
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chemavx 9a5be27532
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feat(metrics): Fix 3 — DB-computed metrics, stateless tracker, resolution tracking
schema.sql
  trades:        + close_pnl, resolution (market outcome storage)
  metrics_daily: + unrealized_pnl_est, realized_pnl, open/closed/resolved_count

db.py
  close_paper_position(): accepts resolution; computes close_pnl in SQL
    BUY_YES: (resolution − entry_price) × shares
    BUY_NO:  ((1 − resolution) − entry_price) × shares
  save_daily_metrics(): persists new columns
  compute_metrics_from_db(): single DB query for all metrics; no in-memory state

tracker.py — complete rewrite (stateless)
  Removed self._trades, self._daily_returns, compute_metrics(), _compute_sharpe(),
  check_promotion_thresholds(), _empty_metrics()
  update_daily_summary() now reads compute_metrics_from_db() every cycle
  Safe across pod restarts: always reflects full DB history

paper.py
  close_position(): passes resolution to close_paper_position()

api/main.py  /api/summary
  Added unrealized_pnl_est (estimated, open trades) and realized_pnl (exact,
  closed+resolved) as separate fields alongside total_pnl
  win_rate: null if < 5 resolved trades (was proxy on entry_price < 0.5)
  calibration_score: Brier-based, null if < 10 resolved trades
  resolved_count exposed as field
  Each field annotated with: exact/estimated, source, null conditions

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-21 17:34:48 +00:00

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"""
FastAPI Backend — serves metrics and trade data to the React dashboard.
"""
import asyncio
from contextlib import asynccontextmanager
from datetime import datetime, timezone
import os
import re
from fastapi import FastAPI
from fastapi.middleware.cors import CORSMiddleware
from bot.data.db import Database
# Matches the feat_str embedded in reasoning for trades from bayesian.py v2+:
# "fg=+0.0600 mom=+0.0000 news=+0.0000 mfld=-0.7483"
_FEAT_RE = re.compile(
r"fg=([+-]?[\d.]+).*?mom=([+-]?[\d.]+).*?news=([+-]?[\d.]+).*?mfld=([+-]?[\d.]+)"
)
def _enrich_trade(trade: dict) -> dict:
"""Add days_open and signal_components to an open trade dict."""
ts = trade.get("timestamp")
if ts is not None:
now = datetime.now(timezone.utc)
if getattr(ts, "tzinfo", None) is None:
ts = ts.replace(tzinfo=timezone.utc)
trade["days_open"] = round((now - ts).total_seconds() / 86400, 1)
else:
trade["days_open"] = None
reasoning = trade.get("reasoning") or ""
m = _FEAT_RE.search(reasoning)
trade["signal_components"] = (
{"fg": float(m.group(1)), "mom": float(m.group(2)),
"news": float(m.group(3)), "mfld": float(m.group(4))}
if m else None
)
return trade
db = Database()
@asynccontextmanager
async def lifespan(app: FastAPI):
await db.connect()
yield
await db.disconnect()
app = FastAPI(title="Polymarket Bot API", lifespan=lifespan)
app.add_middleware(
CORSMiddleware,
allow_origins=["*"],
allow_methods=["GET"],
allow_headers=["*"],
)
@app.get("/health")
async def health():
return {"status": "ok", "paper_mode": os.getenv("PAPER_MODE", "true")}
@app.get("/api/metrics")
async def get_metrics():
history = await db.get_metrics_history(days=42)
if not history:
return {"history": [], "latest": None}
return {"history": history, "latest": history[0]}
@app.get("/api/trades")
async def get_trades(limit: int = 50, status: str = "open"):
"""
status: "open" (default) | "closed" | "all"
Open trades include days_open and signal_components {fg, mom, news, mfld}.
"""
if status not in ("open", "closed", "all"):
status = "open"
filter_status = None if status == "all" else status
trades = await db.get_recent_trades(limit=limit, status=filter_status)
if filter_status == "open":
trades = [_enrich_trade(t) for t in trades]
return {"trades": trades, "count": len(trades), "status_filter": status}
@app.get("/api/summary")
async def get_summary():
"""Dashboard summary card data.
All portfolio counts (total_trades, open_trades_count, total_deployed,
cash_available) are computed live from the DB on every request.
PnL and performance metrics come from the latest metrics_daily snapshot,
which is written by the bot every cycle via MetricsTracker.update_daily_summary().
After Fix 3, that snapshot is also DB-computed — not dependent on pod restarts.
"""
latest_metrics, open_trades, all_trades, inverted, legacy_count = await asyncio.gather(
db.get_metrics_history(days=1),
db.get_recent_trades(limit=500, status="open"),
db.get_recent_trades(limit=500),
db.get_recently_closed_inverted(hours=24),
db.get_legacy_incomplete_count(),
)
latest = latest_metrics[0] if latest_metrics else {}
paper_bankroll = float(os.getenv("PAPER_BANKROLL", "10000"))
total_deployed = sum(t.get("net_cost", 0) for t in open_trades)
return {
# ── Portfolio state (live from DB) ──────────────────────────────────
"paper_mode": os.getenv("PAPER_MODE", "true") == "true",
"paper_bankroll": paper_bankroll,
"total_trades": len(all_trades), # exact, from DB
"open_trades_count": len(open_trades), # exact, from DB
"closed_trades_count": len(all_trades) - len(open_trades), # exact
"total_deployed": total_deployed, # exact, from DB
"cash_available": max(0.0, paper_bankroll - total_deployed), # exact
"legacy_incomplete_count": legacy_count, # exact, from DB
"reentry_guard_blocks_24h": len(inverted), # exact, from DB
# ── P&L (from latest metrics_daily snapshot) ────────────────────────
# unrealized_pnl_est: open positions, edge_net × net_cost fee.
# Estimated — uses model signal, not live price. Source: open trades.
# realized_pnl: closed positions with known resolution.
# Exact — computed from (resolution entry_price) × shares.
# total_pnl: sum of both.
"unrealized_pnl_est": latest.get("unrealized_pnl_est") or 0,
"realized_pnl": latest.get("realized_pnl") or 0,
"total_pnl": latest.get("total_pnl") or 0,
# ── Performance metrics (from latest metrics_daily snapshot) ─────────
# win_rate: fraction of resolved closed trades where close_pnl > 0.
# null if fewer than 5 resolved trades. Source: closed+resolved trades.
# sharpe_ratio: 0.0 — requires daily-return time series (not yet tracked).
# calibration_score: 1 Brier score on resolved trades (higher = better).
# null if fewer than 10 resolved trades. Source: closed+resolved trades.
"win_rate": latest.get("win_rate"), # null if < 5 resolved
"sharpe_ratio": latest.get("sharpe_ratio") or 0, # 0.0 until tracked
"calibration_score": latest.get("calibration_score"), # null if < 10 resolved
# ── Counters from snapshot ───────────────────────────────────────────
"resolved_count": latest.get("resolved_count") or 0,
# ── Promotion gate ───────────────────────────────────────────────────
# All thresholds must pass; null metrics count as not-ready.
"promotion_ready": (
(latest.get("sharpe_ratio") or 0) >= 0.5
and (latest.get("win_rate") or 0) >= 0.52
and (latest.get("calibration_score") or 0) >= 0.7
and len(all_trades) >= 50
),
}