polymarket-bot

5 Commits

Author	SHA1	Message	Date
chemavxandClaude Sonnet 4.6	33ad86f352	feat(news): 6h cache, politics-only, max 5/cycle, 2s sleep between calls CI/CD / build-and-push (push) Successful in 1m32s Details - CACHE_TTL: 4h → 6h (≤36 req/day with ≤9 politics markets) - GNews only called for is_politics markets (BTC/F&G cover crypto/macro) - MAX_NEWS_QUERIES_PER_CYCLE=5: BayesianStrategy.reset_cycle() called each iteration; counter increments only on actual API call (cache hits free) - 2s asyncio.sleep in news.py finally block after each real HTTP request - main.py sorts markets: politics first by end_date ascending, so soonest- resolving markets consume the 5-query budget before others Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>	2026-04-14 12:33:26 +00:00
chemavxandClaude Sonnet 4.6	d642dbd9cf	fix(news): remove paid-tier 'from' param, add User-Agent, log status+body on error CI/CD / build-and-push (push) Successful in 1m34s Details - Drop the 'from' date filter — it's a paid GNews feature, causes 403 on free tier - Add User-Agent header to httpx client; urllib default passes, httpx default blocked - Log actual HTTP status code for every request (INFO) and response body on non-200 - Cache neutral result on 400/401/403/429 to avoid hammering the quota - Remove unused _iso_days_ago() helper and 'days' param from get_sentiment() Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>	2026-04-14 08:36:46 +00:00
chemavxandClaude Sonnet 4.6	4dadd3c2c4	feat: add GNews sentiment signal for politics/tech/events markets CI/CD / build-and-push (push) Successful in 1m28s Details bot/data/news.py (new): - NewsClient with in-memory cache (TTL=4h) to stay within 100 req/day limit - _build_query(): strips dates, punctuation and stopwords from market question - _score_headlines(): keyword-based pos/neg vote per article, averaged ∈ [-1, +1] - Degrades to 0.0 on missing key, 403 quota, or network error bot/strategy/bayesian.py: - BayesianStrategy(news=NewsClient) — optional, backwards compatible - Signal 4: GNews sentiment applied as direct log-odds shift (weight=1.5) so a ±1.0 sentiment score moves a 50% prior to 82%/18% - +0.10 confidence boost when news signal is present - NEWS_LOGODDS_WEIGHT constant documented at module level bot/main.py: - Instantiate NewsClient, pass to BayesianStrategy, close in finally block Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>	2026-04-14 08:24:11 +00:00
chemavxandClaude Sonnet 4.6	98e7f5fe73	feat(logging): log prior/estimate/edge/reason for every evaluated market CI/CD / build-and-push (push) Successful in 1m35s Details Every market now emits an INFO line: TRADE/SKIP <question> \| cat=... \| prior=... \| est=... \| edge=... \| conf=... \| dir=... \| signals=... [\| reason=...] Unsupported-category and no-external-signals early exits also log at INFO so the full evaluation funnel is visible without changing log level. Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>	2026-04-14 08:15:49 +00:00
chemavxandClaude Sonnet 4.6	b8d2b733fd	feat: expand market coverage to politics, tech, and events categories CI/CD / build-and-push (push) Successful in 1m31s Details - polymarket.py: add keyword lists for politics (election, trump, ukraine…), tech (AI, OpenAI, Apple, nvidia…), and events (super bowl, oscar, spacex…); introduce _detect_category() so all four categories flow through a single code path; filter already-expired markets (end_dt < now) in addition to the existing future-cutoff filter; log per-category counts at startup - bayesian.py: extend is_any_supported to include is_politics / is_tech / is_events; use BTC as a risk-sentiment proxy for non-crypto categories (halved weight to reflect weaker correlation); cap confidence_cap at 0.65 for macro/politics/tech/events; MIN_EDGE stays at 0.10 Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>	2026-04-14 08:07:17 +00:00