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chemavxandClaude Fable 5 340c8523cf

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fix(critical): remove dead manifold.get_probability() from legacy scan and fix BUY_NO payout calculation

- Legacy scan called ManifoldClient.get_probability(), removed in the v3
  matcher migration, causing AttributeError when positions had changed
  family keys. The block used Manifold to escalate positions to
  CLOSE_RECOMMENDED (inversion detection) — a trading decision forbidden
  under MANIFOLD_SIGNAL_ENABLED=false — so the dependency is removed
  entirely; the scan keeps family re-keying and sibling-conflict logic.

- PaperExecutor.close_position() computed cash += position_cost * resolution,
  ignoring direction: a winning BUY_NO (resolution=0.0) paid out $0 and
  reported a loss. Now settles per trade:
    BUY_YES: payout = shares * resolution
    BUY_NO:  payout = shares * (1 - resolution)
  with pnl = payout - net_cost; Telegram win/loss keys off pnl > 0.
  Adds read-only Database.get_open_trades_for_market().

- tests/test_paper_close.py covers the 4 deterministic payout cases;
  tests/conftest.py shims datetime.UTC for local Python 3.10 (prod is 3.11).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

2026-06-11 12:23:44 +00:00

__init__.py

feat: initial commit — polymarket-bot source + CI/CD pipeline

2026-04-13 16:05:45 +00:00

db.py

fix(critical): remove dead manifold.get_probability() from legacy scan and fix BUY_NO payout calculation

2026-06-11 12:23:44 +00:00

external.py

feat: initial commit — polymarket-bot source + CI/CD pipeline

2026-04-13 16:05:45 +00:00

manifold.py

feat(manifold): add matcher versioning to separate legacy accepted matches from v3_outcome_guard metrics