- Add European football leagues (La Liga, Premier League, Bundesliga, etc.)
to _SPORTS_EXCLUSIONS so those markets are filtered before category detection
- Reorder _detect_category: check tech before crypto/finance so company-specific
markets (OpenAI IPO, NVIDIA, Apple) resolve to "tech" instead of "crypto/finance"
- Widen resolution horizon default from 60 to 90 days to surface more
markets in the 0.08–0.92 uncertainty zone
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Add _SPORTS_EXCLUSIONS list checked first in _detect_category so NBA/NFL/
MLB/NHL/tennis/golf/UFC/boxing/wrestling/tournament markets never bleed into
politics or events categories. Also removes 'super bowl' from _EVENTS_KEYWORDS
since it's now covered by the sports exclusion.
Keywords excluded: nba, nfl, mlb, nhl, basketball, football, baseball, hockey,
soccer, mvp, rookie of the, championship, super bowl, world series, playoffs,
playoff, tournament, tennis, golf, ufc, boxing, wrestler, wrestling,
slam dunk, home run, touchdown.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- polymarket.py: add keyword lists for politics (election, trump, ukraine…),
tech (AI, OpenAI, Apple, nvidia…), and events (super bowl, oscar, spacex…);
introduce _detect_category() so all four categories flow through a single
code path; filter already-expired markets (end_dt < now) in addition to
the existing future-cutoff filter; log per-category counts at startup
- bayesian.py: extend is_any_supported to include is_politics / is_tech /
is_events; use BTC as a risk-sentiment proxy for non-crypto categories
(halved weight to reflect weaker correlation); cap confidence_cap at 0.65
for macro/politics/tech/events; MIN_EDGE stays at 0.10
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
chemavx
chemavx