5 Commits

Include renames

Author	SHA1	Message	Date
chemavxandClaude Sonnet 4.6	4dadd3c2c4	feat: add GNews sentiment signal for politics/tech/events markets ... bot/data/news.py (new): - NewsClient with in-memory cache (TTL=4h) to stay within 100 req/day limit - _build_query(): strips dates, punctuation and stopwords from market question - _score_headlines(): keyword-based pos/neg vote per article, averaged ∈ [-1, +1] - Degrades to 0.0 on missing key, 403 quota, or network error bot/strategy/bayesian.py: - BayesianStrategy(news=NewsClient) — optional, backwards compatible - Signal 4: GNews sentiment applied as direct log-odds shift (weight=1.5) so a ±1.0 sentiment score moves a 50% prior to 82%/18% - +0.10 confidence boost when news signal is present - NEWS_LOGODDS_WEIGHT constant documented at module level bot/main.py: - Instantiate NewsClient, pass to BayesianStrategy, close in finally block Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>	2026-04-14 08:24:11 +00:00
chemavxandClaude Sonnet 4.6	98e7f5fe73	feat(logging): log prior/estimate/edge/reason for every evaluated market ... Every market now emits an INFO line: TRADE/SKIP <question> | cat=... | prior=... | est=... | edge=... | conf=... | dir=... | signals=... [| reason=...] Unsupported-category and no-external-signals early exits also log at INFO so the full evaluation funnel is visible without changing log level. Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>	2026-04-14 08:15:49 +00:00
chemavxandClaude Sonnet 4.6	b8d2b733fd	feat: expand market coverage to politics, tech, and events categories ... - polymarket.py: add keyword lists for politics (election, trump, ukraine…), tech (AI, OpenAI, Apple, nvidia…), and events (super bowl, oscar, spacex…); introduce _detect_category() so all four categories flow through a single code path; filter already-expired markets (end_dt < now) in addition to the existing future-cutoff filter; log per-category counts at startup - bayesian.py: extend is_any_supported to include is_politics / is_tech / is_events; use BTC as a risk-sentiment proxy for non-crypto categories (halved weight to reflect weaker correlation); cap confidence_cap at 0.65 for macro/politics/tech/events; MIN_EDGE stays at 0.10 Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>	2026-04-14 08:07:17 +00:00
chemavx	f8c4f8b78a	ci: test pipeline trigger — minor comment update	2026-04-13 20:40:13 +00:00
chemavx	4fda34df3b	feat: initial commit — polymarket-bot source + CI/CD pipeline	2026-04-13 16:05:45 +00:00